NHL · Fri, May 8, 2026
Montréal Canadiens at Buffalo Sabres
Final score: Montréal Canadiens 5 – 1 Buffalo Sabres. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | away | 4.5 | 17.00 | +410.0% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 6.5 | 16.00 | +380.0% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 5.5 | 1.82 | +7.9% | WIN |
| Spread | away | -1.5 | 1.44 | +0.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | Buffalo Sabres | Assists | under | 0.5 | 1.69 | +18.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Zach Benson | Buffalo Sabres | Assists | under | 0.5 | 1.32 | +4.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Josh Norris | Buffalo Sabres | Assists | under | 0.5 | 1.34 | +3.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Alex Tuch | Buffalo Sabres | Assists | under | 0.5 | 1.47 | +3.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Josh Doan | Buffalo Sabres | Assists | under | 0.5 | 1.29 | +2.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Mattias Samuelsson | Buffalo Sabres | Assists | under | 0.5 | 1.22 | +1.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Jack Quinn | Buffalo Sabres | Assists | under | 0.5 | 1.36 | +1.6% | 0 | WIN |
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