NHL · Tue, May 12, 2026
Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens
Final score: Buffalo Sabres 3 – 2 Montréal Canadiens. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 6.5 | 2.05 | +2.5% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | Buffalo Sabres | Assists | under | 0.5 | 1.62 | +13.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Zach Benson | Buffalo Sabres | Assists | under | 0.5 | 1.36 | +7.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Josh Doan | Buffalo Sabres | Assists | under | 0.5 | 1.32 | +4.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jack Quinn | Buffalo Sabres | Assists | under | 0.5 | 1.38 | +3.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Peyton Krebs | Buffalo Sabres | Assists | under | 0.5 | 1.27 | +2.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Mattias Samuelsson | Buffalo Sabres | Assists | under | 0.5 | 1.20 | +0.0% | 0 | WIN |
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