NHL · Mon, May 18, 2026
Montréal Canadiens at Buffalo Sabres
Final score: Montréal Canadiens 3 – 2 Buffalo Sabres. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 5.5 | 2.00 | +12.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Doan | Buffalo Sabres | Assists | under | 0.5 | 1.47 | +16.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Tage Thompson | Buffalo Sabres | Assists | under | 0.5 | 1.65 | +16.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Zach Benson | Buffalo Sabres | Assists | under | 0.5 | 1.45 | +14.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Jack Quinn | Buffalo Sabres | Assists | under | 0.5 | 1.45 | +8.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Mattias Samuelsson | Buffalo Sabres | Assists | under | 0.5 | 1.27 | +5.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Josh Norris | Buffalo Sabres | Assists | under | 0.5 | 1.34 | +3.5% | 0 | WIN |
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