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MLB · Sat, Jun 13, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 9 · 8 Milwaukee Brewers. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.70 | +3.9% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +36.2% | 3 | WIN |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | +27.7% | 10 | WIN |
| Shane Drohan | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.94 | +27.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| Derek Hill | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.88 | +26.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.36 | +20.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Yelich | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +14.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.42 | +10.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.58 | +5.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Aaron Nola | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.64 | +1.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +0.6% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Milwaukee Brewers or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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