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MLB · Fri, Jul 17, 2026
Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers
Final score: Miami Marlins 1 · 2 Milwaukee Brewers. 19 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.67 | +0.1% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Hicks | Miami Marlins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.60 | +76.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.90 | +38.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +34.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Christian Yelich | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.37 | +33.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.81 | +25.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.57 | +25.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Heriberto Hernandez | Miami Marlins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.98 | +24.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +23.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.03 | +20.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Stowers | Miami Marlins | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.65 | +16.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Garrett Mitchell | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.81 | +13.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.86 | +8.7% | 7 | WIN |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.38 | +6.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Logan Henderson | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.16 | +4.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.41 | +2.2% | 2 | WIN |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +2.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Xavier Edwards | Miami Marlins | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.54 | +1.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Joe Mack | Miami Marlins | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.95 | +0.2% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Milwaukee Brewers or Miami Marlinsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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