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MLB · Mon, Jul 20, 2026
New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers
Final score: New York Mets 3 · 8 Milwaukee Brewers. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.50 | +4.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +33.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jacob Misiorowski | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | under | 8.5 | 2.19 | +26.2% | 6 | WIN |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +17.7% | 2 | WIN |
| A.J. Ewing | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.90 | +15.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.82 | +12.4% | n/a | PUSH |
| Francisco Alvarez | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.99 | +11.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.72 | +8.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.39 | +7.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jared Young | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.17 | +6.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Francisco Lindor | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.86 | +4.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.51 | +1.9% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Milwaukee Brewers or New York Metsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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