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MLB · Wed, Aug 12, 2026
Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres
Final score: Milwaukee Brewers 3 · 4 San Diego Padres. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.83 | +2.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.86 | +27.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.92 | +21.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +20.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.48 | +20.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.73 | +16.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.84 | +16.3% | 1 | WIN |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.74 | +13.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +10.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.42 | +9.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dustin May | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.83 | +7.6% | 6 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving San Diego Padres or Milwaukee Brewersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 8 | 12.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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