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MLB · Fri, Aug 21, 2026
Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers
Final score: Atlanta Braves 1 · 2 Milwaukee Brewers. 25 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.42 | +106.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 5.03 | +100.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.83 | +72.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.69 | +70.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.05 | +61.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.20 | +44.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.33 | +42.2% | 1 | WIN |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.34 | +38.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +33.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.19 | +31.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chris Sale | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.96 | +23.2% | 6 | WIN |
| Jacob Misiorowski | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | under | 9.5 | 1.75 | +21.2% | 6 | WIN |
| James Jarvis | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.37 | +19.3% | n/a | PUSH |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.88 | +18.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.88 | +15.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.72 | +11.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.67 | +10.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.78 | +10.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.82 | +9.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cooper Pratt | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.94 | +7.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.94 | +6.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.67 | +6.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Mike Yastrzemski | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.32 | +4.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.50 | +0.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.71 | +0.1% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Milwaukee Brewers or Atlanta Bravesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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