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MLB · Fri, Aug 21, 2026
Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers
Final score: Atlanta Braves 1 · 2 Milwaukee Brewers. 25 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.42 | +106.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 5.03 | +100.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.83 | +72.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.69 | +70.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.05 | +61.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.20 | +44.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.33 | +42.2% | 1 | WIN |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.34 | +38.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +33.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.19 | +31.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chris Sale | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.96 | +23.2% | 6 | WIN |
| Jacob Misiorowski | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | under | 9.5 | 1.75 | +21.2% | 6 | WIN |
| James Jarvis | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.37 | +19.3% | n/a | PUSH |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.88 | +18.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.88 | +15.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.72 | +11.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.67 | +10.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.78 | +10.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.82 | +9.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cooper Pratt | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.94 | +7.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.94 | +6.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.67 | +6.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Mike Yastrzemski | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.32 | +4.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.50 | +0.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.71 | +0.1% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Milwaukee Brewers or Atlanta Braves that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 29, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 28, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays | 11 | 18.2% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 27, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays | 23 | 56.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers | 24 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 16, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers | 12 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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