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MLB · Sat, Sep 5, 2026
Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: Milwaukee Brewers 3 · 5 Cincinnati Reds. 24 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.60 | +4.7% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.66 | +39.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Eugenio Suarez | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.07 | +33.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.31 | +30.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.82 | +30.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cooper Pratt | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.07 | +22.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| TJ Friedl | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.93 | +18.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +14.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Andrew Abbott | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.76 | +13.2% | 5 | WIN |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.45 | +9.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Gary Sanchez | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +8.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +8.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +7.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Joey Ortiz | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +6.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Dustin May | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.67 | +6.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Luis Lara | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +6.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Edwin Arroyo | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.23 | +4.6% | n/a | PUSH |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.81 | +4.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +4.3% | 1 | WIN |
| TJ Friedl | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.24 | +3.3% | 0 | WIN |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.40 | +2.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.56 | +2.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +1.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Andrew Vaughn | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +1.4% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cincinnati Reds or Milwaukee Brewersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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