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MLB · Wed, Sep 23, 2026
Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Milwaukee Brewers 4 · 1 Philadelphia Phillies. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.95 | +9.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Ortiz | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.49 | +19.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.99 | +17.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Garrett Mitchell | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.63 | +13.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Logan Henderson | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.00 | +12.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Luis Arraez | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.47 | +3.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Yelich | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.46 | +2.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.82 | +0.4% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Philadelphia Phillies or Milwaukee Brewersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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