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NFL · Sun, Oct 11, 2026
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks
Final score: San Francisco 49ers 32 · 29 Seattle Seahawks. 22 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emanuel Wilson | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.25 | +92.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| George Holani | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.17 | +91.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| Emanuel Wilson | Seattle Seahawks | Rushing Yards | under | 64.5 | 1.88 | +63.0% | 61 | WIN |
| George Holani | Seattle Seahawks | Rushing Yards | under | 19.5 | 1.88 | +56.6% | 7 | WIN |
| Emanuel Wilson | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | under | 12.5 | 1.86 | +56.3% | 11 | WIN |
| Brock Purdy | San Francisco 49ers | Passing TDs | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +46.7% | 2 | WIN |
| George Holani | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | under | 8.5 | 1.90 | +38.4% | 24 | LOSS |
| George Kittle | San Francisco 49ers | Receiving Yards | over | 54.5 | 1.87 | +36.3% | 24 | LOSS |
| Kaelon Black | San Francisco 49ers | Rushing Yards | over | 14.5 | 1.89 | +33.7% | 16 | WIN |
| Christian McCaffrey | San Francisco 49ers | Rushing Yards | over | 51.5 | 1.88 | +31.8% | 68 | WIN |
| AJ Barner | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 1.95 | +26.2% | 3 | WIN |
| Rashid Shaheed | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | under | 20.5 | 1.89 | +24.9% | 23 | LOSS |
| Sam Darnold | Seattle Seahawks | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.95 | +24.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Brock Purdy | San Francisco 49ers | Passing Yards | over | 228.5 | 1.89 | +21.0% | 189 | LOSS |
| George Kittle | San Francisco 49ers | Receptions | over | 4.5 | 1.87 | +17.7% | 5 | WIN |
| Mike Evans | San Francisco 49ers | Receiving Yards | under | 50.5 | 1.88 | +15.7% | 113 | LOSS |
| Rashid Shaheed | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.52 | +13.1% | 2 | WIN |
| AJ Barner | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | over | 23.5 | 1.92 | +8.1% | 20 | LOSS |
| Cooper Kupp | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | over | 23.5 | 1.87 | +7.5% | 15 | LOSS |
| Sam Darnold | Seattle Seahawks | Rushing Yards | over | 3.5 | 1.86 | +4.9% | 5 | WIN |
| Sam Darnold | Seattle Seahawks | Passing Yards | over | 234.5 | 1.90 | +3.1% | 195 | LOSS |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | over | 6.5 | 1.68 | +0.6% | 5 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Seattle Seahawks or San Francisco 49ers that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers | 25 | 56.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks | 27 | 46.2% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders | 31 | 77.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers | 38 | 78.9% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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