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NBA · Mon, Oct 26, 2026
Minnesota Timberwolves at Cleveland Cavaliers
Final score: Minnesota Timberwolves 125 · 127 Cleveland Cavaliers. 29 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | away | -3.5 | 1.87 | +3.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylon Tyson | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | under | 8.5 | 1.97 | +92.1% | 11 | LOSS |
| Peyton Watson | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | under | 12.5 | 1.82 | +73.7% | 15 | LOSS |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | under | 8.5 | 1.78 | +65.9% | 14 | LOSS |
| James Harden | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | over | 16.5 | 1.84 | +61.1% | 19 | WIN |
| Jaylon Tyson | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.64 | +53.4% | 4 | WIN |
| LaMelo Ball | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | over | 18.5 | 1.82 | +52.7% | 11 | LOSS |
| Rudy Gobert | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | over | 9.5 | 1.90 | +44.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| James Harden | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 2.04 | +37.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Jaden McDaniels | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | under | 14.5 | 1.79 | +35.3% | 14 | WIN |
| James Harden | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | over | 6.5 | 1.88 | +34.0% | 9 | WIN |
| Sam Merrill | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | under | 7.5 | 2.02 | +33.7% | 9 | LOSS |
| Anthony Edwards | Minnesota Timberwolves | Assists | over | 2.5 | 1.58 | +29.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Anthony Edwards | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | under | 28.5 | 1.88 | +29.3% | 47 | LOSS |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cleveland Cavaliers | Points | under | 24.5 | 1.94 | +27.0% | 26 | LOSS |
| Peyton Watson | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.62 | +26.6% | 8 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Kuminga | Minnesota Timberwolves | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 2.09 | +26.5% | 10 | LOSS |
| Jarrett Allen | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | over | 8.5 | 2.08 | +21.6% | 9 | WIN |
| Rudy Gobert | Minnesota Timberwolves | Rebounds | under | 11.5 | 1.83 | +20.9% | 20 | LOSS |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | Minnesota Timberwolves | Rebounds | under | 2.5 | 1.68 | +20.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| Ayo Dosunmu | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | under | 12.5 | 1.88 | +19.8% | 9 | WIN |
| Ayo Dosunmu | Minnesota Timberwolves | Assists | over | 3.5 | 2.05 | +19.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jaden McDaniels | Minnesota Timberwolves | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 1.76 | +17.5% | 6 | WIN |
| LaMelo Ball | Minnesota Timberwolves | Assists | under | 7.5 | 1.76 | +10.6% | 6 | WIN |
| Anthony Edwards | Minnesota Timberwolves | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 1.65 | +9.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Kuminga | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | over | 12.5 | 2.00 | +8.9% | 10 | LOSS |
| Jaden McDaniels | Minnesota Timberwolves | Assists | under | 2.5 | 1.68 | +8.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| Evan Mobley | Cleveland Cavaliers | Rebounds | over | 8.5 | 2.04 | +6.9% | 10 | WIN |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cleveland Cavaliers | Assists | over | 4.5 | 1.99 | +5.5% | 7 | WIN |
Recent NBA games for these teams
Other games involving Cleveland Cavaliers or Minnesota Timberwolves that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Toronto Raptors at Minnesota Timberwolves | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 23, 2026 | Minnesota Timberwolves at Orlando Magic | 23 | 47.8% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 22, 2026 | Cleveland Cavaliers at Philadelphia 76ers | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Tue, May 26, 2026 | New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers | 46 | 46.5% | View → |
| Sun, May 24, 2026 | New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers | 38 | 50.0% | View → |
| Fri, May 22, 2026 | Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks | 39 | 59.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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