Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
NBA · Tue, Oct 27, 2026
Atlanta Hawks at Houston Rockets
Final score: Atlanta Hawks 110 · 120 Houston Rockets. 26 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Atlanta Hawks | Points | under | 17.5 | 1.91 | +89.1% | 12 | WIN |
| Luguentz Dort | Atlanta Hawks | Points | over | 6.5 | 1.94 | +72.4% | 11 | WIN |
| Amen Thompson | Houston Rockets | Points | under | 16.5 | 1.96 | +63.3% | 15 | WIN |
| Jalen Johnson | Atlanta Hawks | Points | under | 22.5 | 1.85 | +61.8% | 21 | WIN |
| Jalen Johnson | Atlanta Hawks | Assists | under | 7.5 | 1.68 | +49.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Onyeka Okongwu | Atlanta Hawks | Rebounds | over | 6.5 | 2.09 | +42.2% | 9 | WIN |
| Luguentz Dort | Atlanta Hawks | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 1.70 | +34.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jock Landale | Atlanta Hawks | Points | under | 6.5 | 1.79 | +33.9% | 8 | LOSS |
| Jock Landale | Atlanta Hawks | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 2.03 | +29.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| Alperen Sengun | Houston Rockets | Points | under | 20.5 | 1.85 | +28.9% | 29 | LOSS |
| Amen Thompson | Houston Rockets | Rebounds | under | 8.5 | 1.88 | +27.4% | 5 | WIN |
| Dyson Daniels | Atlanta Hawks | Points | over | 12.5 | 2.01 | +27.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| Amen Thompson | Houston Rockets | Assists | under | 4.5 | 1.78 | +26.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Fred VanVleet | Houston Rockets | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 1.67 | +23.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Fred VanVleet | Houston Rockets | Points | over | 12.5 | 1.97 | +22.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Atlanta Hawks | Assists | under | 3.5 | 1.57 | +21.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Fred VanVleet | Houston Rockets | Assists | under | 5.5 | 2.12 | +19.1% | 5 | WIN |
| Kevin Durant | Houston Rockets | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 1.64 | +15.3% | 9 | WIN |
| Kevin Durant | Houston Rockets | Points | over | 23.5 | 1.91 | +14.3% | 22 | LOSS |
| Tari Eason | Houston Rockets | Points | under | 11.5 | 1.85 | +13.1% | 13 | LOSS |
| Aaron Wiggins | Atlanta Hawks | Points | under | 11.5 | 1.88 | +12.6% | 12 | LOSS |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Atlanta Hawks | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 1.70 | +12.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Dyson Daniels | Atlanta Hawks | Rebounds | under | 6.5 | 1.69 | +7.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Alperen Sengun | Houston Rockets | Rebounds | over | 9.5 | 2.03 | +5.8% | 9 | LOSS |
| Onyeka Okongwu | Atlanta Hawks | Points | over | 11.5 | 1.83 | +4.9% | 11 | LOSS |
| Alperen Sengun | Houston Rockets | Assists | under | 4.5 | 2.09 | +1.0% | 9 | LOSS |
Recent NBA games for these teams
Other games involving Houston Rockets or Atlanta Hawks that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Oct 24, 2026 | Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs | 26 | 65.4% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 23, 2026 | Atlanta Hawks at Charlotte Hornets | 15 | 66.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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