Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
NBA · Thu, Nov 5, 2026
Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs
Final score: Dallas Mavericks 111 · 112 San Antonio Spurs. 24 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | home | -11.5 | 1.95 | +6.6% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 227.5 | 1.92 | +4.8% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 15.5 | 2.00 | +85.8% | 10 | LOSS |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | under | 5.5 | 1.98 | +61.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 12.5 | 2.01 | +53.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 2.11 | +51.1% | 10 | LOSS |
| Daniel Gafford | Dallas Mavericks | Points | over | 8.5 | 1.86 | +49.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 26.5 | 1.85 | +49.3% | 52 | LOSS |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 16.5 | 1.85 | +47.0% | 17 | LOSS |
| Keldon Johnson | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 8.5 | 1.81 | +34.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| Kyrie Irving | Dallas Mavericks | Points | over | 20.5 | 1.93 | +32.2% | 29 | WIN |
| Daniel Gafford | Dallas Mavericks | Rebounds | under | 7.5 | 1.79 | +29.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Kyrie Irving | Dallas Mavericks | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.79 | +27.1% | 7 | WIN |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 11.5 | 1.80 | +23.1% | 24 | LOSS |
| P.J. Washington | Dallas Mavericks | Points | over | 12.5 | 1.81 | +21.4% | 21 | WIN |
| Naji Marshall | Dallas Mavericks | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.86 | +18.6% | 5 | WIN |
| De'Aaron Fox | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.64 | +16.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| Julian Champagnie | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 2.25 | +16.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 2.5 | 1.63 | +14.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Naji Marshall | Dallas Mavericks | Assists | under | 3.5 | 1.64 | +13.0% | 3 | WIN |
| Julian Champagnie | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 9.5 | 1.88 | +6.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Naji Marshall | Dallas Mavericks | Points | over | 11.5 | 1.95 | +5.7% | 22 | WIN |
| P.J. Washington | Dallas Mavericks | Rebounds | over | 6.5 | 1.72 | +4.5% | 10 | WIN |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.61 | +1.5% | 7 | LOSS |
Recent NBA games for these teams
Other games involving San Antonio Spurs or Dallas Mavericks that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Nov 3, 2026 | Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks | 14 | 35.7% | View → |
| Tue, Nov 3, 2026 | Utah Jazz at San Antonio Spurs | 16 | 62.5% | View → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 2026 | Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs | 29 | 48.3% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 28, 2026 | Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs | 25 | 72.0% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 24, 2026 | Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs | 26 | 65.4% | View → |
| Sun, Jun 14, 2026 | New York Knicks at San Antonio Spurs | 59 | 42.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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