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NBA · Thu, Nov 5, 2026
Los Angeles Lakers at Sacramento Kings
Final score: Los Angeles Lakers 116 · 103 Sacramento Kings. 26 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 234.5 | 1.91 | +1.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Monk | Sacramento Kings | Points | over | 9.5 | 1.98 | +88.8% | 13 | WIN |
| Ziaire Williams | Los Angeles Lakers | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 2.20 | +79.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Precious Achiuwa | Sacramento Kings | Points | under | 9.5 | 1.97 | +74.4% | 7 | WIN |
| Luka Doncic | Los Angeles Lakers | Points | under | 33.5 | 1.86 | +72.4% | 40 | LOSS |
| Quentin Grimes | Los Angeles Lakers | Points | over | 8.5 | 1.82 | +65.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| Domantas Sabonis | Sacramento Kings | Points | over | 13.5 | 1.82 | +59.3% | 16 | WIN |
| Austin Reaves | Los Angeles Lakers | Points | under | 23.5 | 1.85 | +52.8% | 21 | WIN |
| Precious Achiuwa | Sacramento Kings | Rebounds | under | 7.5 | 1.72 | +52.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Matisse Thybulle | Los Angeles Lakers | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 2.08 | +45.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| De'Andre Hunter | Sacramento Kings | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 2.00 | +41.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Zach LaVine | Sacramento Kings | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 1.69 | +36.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Zach LaVine | Sacramento Kings | Assists | over | 2.5 | 1.74 | +35.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Matisse Thybulle | Los Angeles Lakers | Points | over | 6.5 | 1.89 | +32.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Walker Kessler | Los Angeles Lakers | Points | under | 12.5 | 1.94 | +30.0% | 15 | LOSS |
| Quentin Grimes | Los Angeles Lakers | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 2.25 | +29.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ziaire Williams | Los Angeles Lakers | Points | over | 8.5 | 1.94 | +25.3% | 10 | WIN |
| Quentin Grimes | Los Angeles Lakers | Assists | over | 2.5 | 2.23 | +20.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Walker Kessler | Los Angeles Lakers | Rebounds | over | 10.5 | 1.96 | +13.2% | 8 | LOSS |
| Austin Reaves | Los Angeles Lakers | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.65 | +10.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Domantas Sabonis | Sacramento Kings | Assists | under | 6.5 | 1.70 | +9.0% | 1 | WIN |
| De'Andre Hunter | Sacramento Kings | Points | over | 13.5 | 1.88 | +7.1% | 14 | WIN |
| Luka Doncic | Los Angeles Lakers | Assists | under | 7.5 | 1.82 | +6.6% | 7 | WIN |
| Zach LaVine | Sacramento Kings | Points | over | 21.5 | 1.93 | +5.1% | 21 | LOSS |
| Luka Doncic | Los Angeles Lakers | Rebounds | over | 7.5 | 2.03 | +3.6% | 9 | WIN |
| Jake LaRavia | Los Angeles Lakers | Points | under | 6.5 | 1.89 | +3.6% | 9 | LOSS |
Recent NBA games for these teams
Other games involving Sacramento Kings or Los Angeles Lakers that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Nov 3, 2026 | Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks | 14 | 35.7% | View → |
| Mon, Nov 2, 2026 | Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Lakers | 21 | 42.9% | View → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 2026 | Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies | 18 | 55.6% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 28, 2026 | Portland Trail Blazers at Los Angeles Lakers | 31 | 32.3% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 28, 2026 | Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs | 25 | 72.0% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 26, 2026 | Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings | 3 | 66.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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