Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
NBA · Thu, Nov 5, 2026
Minnesota Timberwolves at Houston Rockets
Final score: Minnesota Timberwolves 117 · 107 Houston Rockets. 31 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 220.5 | 1.94 | +7.2% | WIN |
| Spread | away | -8.5 | 1.89 | +5.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayo Dosunmu | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | under | 15.5 | 1.95 | +71.8% | 21 | LOSS |
| Jaden McDaniels | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | under | 16.5 | 1.83 | +62.6% | 14 | WIN |
| Rudy Gobert | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | over | 9.5 | 2.00 | +52.0% | 8 | LOSS |
| LaMelo Ball | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | over | 19.5 | 1.91 | +48.8% | 20 | WIN |
| Ayo Dosunmu | Minnesota Timberwolves | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 2.04 | +48.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Amen Thompson | Houston Rockets | Points | under | 15.5 | 1.93 | +46.8% | 11 | WIN |
| Jaden McDaniels | Minnesota Timberwolves | Assists | under | 2.5 | 2.21 | +42.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Kuminga | Minnesota Timberwolves | Rebounds | under | 5.5 | 1.78 | +36.3% | 8 | LOSS |
| Alperen Sengun | Houston Rockets | Assists | under | 6.5 | 1.67 | +32.9% | 10 | LOSS |
| Tari Eason | Houston Rockets | Points | over | 9.5 | 2.02 | +27.2% | 9 | LOSS |
| Kevin Durant | Houston Rockets | Points | over | 22.5 | 1.87 | +26.3% | 21 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Kuminga | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | under | 14.5 | 1.89 | +26.3% | 16 | LOSS |
| Marcus Smart | Houston Rockets | Assists | over | 2.5 | 2.22 | +21.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| LaMelo Ball | Minnesota Timberwolves | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 1.65 | +20.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Fred VanVleet | Houston Rockets | Points | over | 12.5 | 1.91 | +19.2% | 18 | WIN |
| Marcus Smart | Houston Rockets | Points | over | 7.5 | 1.97 | +18.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| Kevin Durant | Houston Rockets | Assists | over | 3.5 | 1.98 | +18.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Amen Thompson | Houston Rockets | Rebounds | over | 6.5 | 1.94 | +17.5% | 8 | WIN |
| Alperen Sengun | Houston Rockets | Points | under | 19.5 | 1.87 | +14.7% | 17 | WIN |
| Alperen Sengun | Houston Rockets | Rebounds | over | 8.5 | 1.77 | +14.7% | 12 | WIN |
| Amen Thompson | Houston Rockets | Assists | under | 3.5 | 2.16 | +12.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Fred VanVleet | Houston Rockets | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 2.05 | +9.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| Rudy Gobert | Minnesota Timberwolves | Rebounds | under | 10.5 | 2.00 | +8.8% | 11 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Kuminga | Minnesota Timberwolves | Assists | under | 2.5 | 1.68 | +8.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| Jaden McDaniels | Minnesota Timberwolves | Rebounds | over | 5.5 | 2.11 | +5.4% | 8 | WIN |
| Fred VanVleet | Houston Rockets | Assists | under | 5.5 | 1.85 | +4.0% | 3 | WIN |
| Kevin Durant | Houston Rockets | Rebounds | over | 5.5 | 1.92 | +3.8% | 5 | LOSS |
| LaMelo Ball | Minnesota Timberwolves | Assists | over | 6.5 | 1.98 | +3.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| Ayo Dosunmu | Minnesota Timberwolves | Assists | under | 4.5 | 1.68 | +2.8% | 6 | LOSS |
Recent NBA games for these teams
Other games involving Houston Rockets or Minnesota Timberwolves that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Nov 3, 2026 | Boston Celtics at Houston Rockets | 19 | 36.8% | View → |
| Tue, Nov 3, 2026 | Milwaukee Bucks at Minnesota Timberwolves | 19 | 47.4% | View → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 2026 | Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets | 9 | 55.6% | View → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 2026 | Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs | 29 | 48.3% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 31, 2026 | Los Angeles Clippers at Minnesota Timberwolves | 17 | 58.8% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 29, 2026 | Houston Rockets at Milwaukee Bucks | 22 | 63.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.