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MLB · Total Bases Props
Best MLB total bases props
The MLB players whose total bases props the model has hit on most often. 5,247 tracked picks since coverage started, ranked by hit rate with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player leaderboard: Total Bases
Players with at least 5 graded model picks on total bases, ranked by hit rate.
| Player | Team | Tracked | W | L | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Rengifo | San Diego Padres | 7 | 6 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | Arizona Diamondbacks | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Max Kepler | Arizona Diamondbacks | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Eugenio Suarez | Cincinnati Reds | 9 | 7 | 1 | 87.5% |
| Lars Nootbaar | Arizona Diamondbacks | 8 | 7 | 1 | 87.5% |
| Salvador Perez | Kansas City Royals | 15 | 12 | 2 | 85.7% |
| Royce Lewis | Minnesota Twins | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83.3% |
| Ezequiel Tovar | Colorado Rockies | 11 | 9 | 2 | 81.8% |
| Alejandro Kirk | Toronto Blue Jays | 17 | 12 | 3 | 80.0% |
| Sal Frelick | Milwaukee Brewers | 10 | 8 | 2 | 80.0% |
| Randal Grichuk | Chicago White Sox | 6 | 4 | 1 | 80.0% |
| Nick Loftin | Kansas City Royals | 14 | 10 | 3 | 76.9% |
| Xander Bogaerts | San Diego Padres | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75.0% |
| Austin Martin | Minnesota Twins | 9 | 6 | 2 | 75.0% |
| Dane Myers | Cincinnati Reds | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75.0% |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves | 6 | 3 | 1 | 75.0% |
| Victor Caratini | Minnesota Twins | 5 | 3 | 1 | 75.0% |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | 11 | 8 | 3 | 72.7% |
| J.T. Realmuto | Philadelphia Phillies | 20 | 13 | 5 | 72.2% |
| Amed Rosario | New York Yankees | 8 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% |
| Cal Raleigh | Seattle Mariners | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% |
| Cole Young | Seattle Mariners | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% |
| George Springer | Toronto Blue Jays | 11 | 7 | 3 | 70.0% |
| Tommy White | Athletics | 10 | 7 | 3 | 70.0% |
| Henry Bolte | Athletics | 21 | 14 | 7 | 66.7% |
| Corey Seager | Texas Rangers | 7 | 4 | 2 | 66.7% |
| J.P. Crawford | Seattle Mariners | 6 | 4 | 2 | 66.7% |
| Joc Pederson | Texas Rangers | 6 | 4 | 2 | 66.7% |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Tampa Bay Rays | 6 | 4 | 2 | 66.7% |
| Romy Gonzalez | Boston Red Sox | 6 | 4 | 2 | 66.7% |
Recent Total Bases picks
The last 20 total bases props the model rated positive expected value, across every MLB player.
| Date | Player | Team | Pick | Line | Odds | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | 0 | LOSS |
| Sep 12 | Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | over | 1.5 | 1.97 | 0 | LOSS |
| Sep 12 | Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | 1 | WIN |
| Sep 12 | Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | under | 1.5 | 1.79 | 1 | WIN |
| Sep 12 | Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | under | 1.5 | 1.86 | 0 | WIN |
| Sep 12 | Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | over | 1.5 | 2.05 | 2 | WIN |
| Sep 12 | Roman Anthony | Boston Red Sox | under | 1.5 | 1.72 | 2 | LOSS |
| Sep 12 | Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | over | 1.5 | 1.98 | 1 | LOSS |
| Sep 12 | Bo Bichette | New York Mets | over | 1.5 | 2.46 | 0 | LOSS |
| Sep 12 | Juan Soto | New York Mets | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | 6 | WIN |
| Sep 12 | Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | 5 | WIN |
| Sep 12 | Aaron Judge | New York Yankees | over | 1.5 | 2.04 | 0 | LOSS |
| Sep 12 | Kody Clemens | Minnesota Twins | over | 1.5 | 2.47 | 2 | WIN |
| Sep 12 | Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | 0 | LOSS |
| Sep 12 | Steven Kwan | Cleveland Guardians | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | 1 | WIN |
| Sep 11 | Luis Arraez | Philadelphia Phillies | over | 1.5 | 2.45 | 2 | WIN |
| Sep 11 | Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | 2 | WIN |
| Sep 11 | Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | 0 | LOSS |
| Sep 11 | Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | 3 | WIN |
| Sep 11 | Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | over | 1.5 | 2.10 | 4 | WIN |
Today’s total bases edges, in the dashboard
Members get every MLB total bases prop the model rates positive expected value today, with edge and confidence on each line.