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NFL · Receiving Yards Props
Best NFL receiving yards props
The NFL players whose receiving yards props the model has hit on most often. 1,799 tracked picks since coverage started, ranked by hit rate with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player leaderboard: Receiving Yards
Players with at least 5 graded model picks on receiving yards, ranked by hit rate.
| Player | Team | Tracked | W | L | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Waddle | Denver Broncos | 12 | 12 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Dalton Schultz | Houston Texans | 11 | 11 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | New England Patriots | 10 | 10 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Mack Hollins | New England Patriots | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Cade Otton | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Pat Bryant | Denver Broncos | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Rashee Rice | Kansas City Chiefs | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Ty Johnson | Buffalo Bills | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Nate Boerkircher | Jacksonville Jaguars | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Mark Andrews | Baltimore Ravens | 13 | 12 | 1 | 92.3% |
| Hunter Henry | New England Patriots | 11 | 10 | 1 | 90.9% |
| Jake Ferguson | Dallas Cowboys | 10 | 9 | 1 | 90.0% |
| Jerry Jeudy | Cleveland Browns | 9 | 8 | 1 | 88.9% |
| Greg Dulcich | Miami Dolphins | 9 | 8 | 1 | 88.9% |
| Noah Fant | New Orleans Saints | 8 | 7 | 1 | 87.5% |
| Darnell Washington | Pittsburgh Steelers | 8 | 7 | 1 | 87.5% |
| Ted Hurst III | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 6 | 1 | 85.7% |
| Terry McLaurin | Washington Commanders | 7 | 6 | 1 | 85.7% |
| Saquon Barkley | Philadelphia Eagles | 13 | 11 | 2 | 84.6% |
| Michael Mayer | Las Vegas Raiders | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83.3% |
| Kyren Williams | Los Angeles Rams | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83.3% |
| Michael Wilson | Arizona Cardinals | 11 | 9 | 2 | 81.8% |
| Rome Odunze | Chicago Bears | 11 | 9 | 2 | 81.8% |
| John Metchie III | Carolina Panthers | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80.0% |
| Skyy Moore | Green Bay Packers | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80.0% |
| Jonnu Smith | Green Bay Packers | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80.0% |
| Bijan Robinson | Atlanta Falcons | 18 | 14 | 4 | 77.8% |
| Dalton Kincaid | Buffalo Bills | 9 | 7 | 2 | 77.8% |
| Ashton Jeanty | Las Vegas Raiders | 9 | 7 | 2 | 77.8% |
Recent Receiving Yards picks
The last 20 receiving yards props the model rated positive expected value, across every NFL player.
| Date | Player | Team | Pick | Line | Odds | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13 | Theo Johnson | New York Giants | over | 4.5 | 1.85 | 8 | WIN |
| Nov 13 | Cam Skattebo | New York Giants | over | 7.5 | 1.90 | 44 | WIN |
| Nov 13 | Austin Ekeler | Washington Commanders | over | 9.5 | 1.95 | 26 | WIN |
| Nov 13 | Rachaad White | Washington Commanders | under | 12.5 | 1.86 | 5 | WIN |
| Nov 13 | Darnell Mooney | New York Giants | over | 13.5 | 1.88 | 8 | LOSS |
| Nov 13 | Treylon Burks | Washington Commanders | under | 28.5 | 1.90 | 27 | WIN |
| Nov 13 | Chig Okonkwo | Washington Commanders | over | 33.5 | 1.87 | 24 | LOSS |
| Nov 13 | Stefon Diggs | Washington Commanders | over | 38.5 | 1.92 | 83 | WIN |
| Nov 13 | Antonio Williams | Washington Commanders | under | 38.5 | 1.88 | 42 | LOSS |
| Nov 13 | Isaiah Likely | New York Giants | under | 47.5 | 1.90 | 127 | LOSS |
| Nov 10 | Ben Yurosek | Minnesota Vikings | under | 1.5 | 1.91 | 0 | WIN |
| Nov 10 | Dawson Knox | Buffalo Bills | over | 7.5 | 1.84 | 37 | WIN |
| Nov 10 | Ty Johnson | Buffalo Bills | over | 16.5 | 1.93 | 36 | WIN |
| Nov 10 | Keon Coleman | Buffalo Bills | under | 28.5 | 1.88 | 17 | WIN |
| Nov 10 | Jordan Addison | Minnesota Vikings | under | 41.5 | 1.87 | 28 | WIN |
| Nov 10 | T.J. Hockenson | Minnesota Vikings | under | 41.5 | 1.92 | 33 | WIN |
| Nov 10 | DJ Moore | Buffalo Bills | under | 47.5 | 1.90 | 25 | WIN |
| Nov 10 | Justin Jefferson | Minnesota Vikings | under | 78.5 | 1.91 | 58 | WIN |
| Nov 9 | Roschon Johnson | Chicago Bears | under | 3.5 | 1.88 | 0 | WIN |
| Nov 9 | Kenny Gainwell | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | over | 9.5 | 1.84 | 60 | WIN |
Today’s receiving yards edges, in the dashboard
Members get every NFL receiving yards prop the model rates positive expected value today, with edge and confidence on each line.