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NFL · Rushing Yards Props
Best NFL rushing yards props
The NFL players whose rushing yards props the model has hit on most often. 294 tracked picks since coverage started, ranked by hit rate with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player leaderboard: Rushing Yards
Players with at least 5 graded model picks on rushing yards, ranked by hit rate.
| Player | Team | Tracked | W | L | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Brooks | Green Bay Packers | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Brian Robinson Jr. | Atlanta Falcons | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Matthew Stafford | Los Angeles Rams | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Kyren Williams | Los Angeles Rams | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Drake Maye | New England Patriots | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Cam Ward | Tennessee Titans | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100.0% |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | 8 | 7 | 1 | 87.5% |
| Bo Nix | Denver Broncos | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83.3% |
| Tyler Allgeier | Arizona Cardinals | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80.0% |
| David Montgomery | Houston Texans | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80.0% |
| Ashton Jeanty | Las Vegas Raiders | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80.0% |
| Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% |
| Javonte Williams | Dallas Cowboys | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60.0% |
| Derrick Henry | Baltimore Ravens | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40.0% |
| Kyle Monangai | Chicago Bears | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40.0% |
| Bijan Robinson | Atlanta Falcons | 8 | 3 | 5 | 37.5% |
| Chuba Hubbard | Carolina Panthers | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20.0% |
| Quinshon Judkins | Cleveland Browns | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20.0% |
| Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20.0% |
| Woody Marks | Houston Texans | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20.0% |
| Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20.0% |
| Malik Willis | Miami Dolphins | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20.0% |
| Breece Hall | New York Jets | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20.0% |
| Baker Mayfield | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20.0% |
| Lamar Jackson | Baltimore Ravens | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16.7% |
| Chase Brown | Cincinnati Bengals | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16.7% |
| Justin Herbert | Los Angeles Chargers | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16.7% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | Detroit Lions | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0.0% |
| Bhayshul Tuten | Jacksonville Jaguars | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0.0% |
Recent Rushing Yards picks
The last 20 rushing yards props the model rated positive expected value, across every NFL player.
| Date | Player | Team | Pick | Line | Odds | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29 | Kyle Monangai | Chicago Bears | under | 39.5 | 1.90 | 31 | WIN |
| Sep 29 | Tank Bigsby | Philadelphia Eagles | over | 11.5 | 1.93 | 0 | LOSS |
| Sep 29 | Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles | over | 24.5 | 1.92 | 25 | WIN |
| Sep 29 | Kyle Monangai | Chicago Bears | over | 36.5 | 1.91 | 31 | LOSS |
| Sep 29 | Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles | over | 24.5 | 1.92 | 25 | WIN |
| Sep 29 | Kyle Monangai | Chicago Bears | over | 38.5 | 1.89 | 31 | LOSS |
| Sep 29 | Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles | over | 23.5 | 1.89 | 25 | WIN |
| Sep 29 | Kyle Monangai | Chicago Bears | over | 40.5 | 1.89 | 31 | LOSS |
| Sep 29 | Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles | over | 24.5 | 1.91 | 25 | WIN |
| Sep 29 | D'Andre Swift | Chicago Bears | under | 67.5 | 1.91 | 84 | LOSS |
| Sep 29 | Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles | over | 25.5 | 1.92 | 25 | LOSS |
| Sep 29 | Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles | over | 24.5 | 1.88 | 25 | WIN |
| Sep 28 | Matthew Stafford | Los Angeles Rams | over | 0.5 | 2.19 | 13 | WIN |
| Sep 28 | Bo Nix | Denver Broncos | under | 16.5 | 1.86 | 7 | WIN |
| Sep 28 | Blake Corum | Los Angeles Rams | over | 47.5 | 1.88 | 15 | LOSS |
| Sep 28 | J.K. Dobbins | Denver Broncos | over | 50.5 | 1.91 | 49 | LOSS |
| Sep 28 | Kyren Williams | Los Angeles Rams | over | 53.5 | 1.89 | 88 | WIN |
| Sep 28 | Matthew Stafford | Los Angeles Rams | over | 0.5 | 2.36 | 13 | WIN |
| Sep 28 | Bo Nix | Denver Broncos | under | 16.5 | 1.93 | 7 | WIN |
| Sep 28 | Blake Corum | Los Angeles Rams | over | 46.5 | 1.89 | 15 | LOSS |
Today’s rushing yards edges, in the dashboard
Members get every NFL rushing yards prop the model rates positive expected value today, with edge and confidence on each line.