Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB
Merrill Kelly prop predictions
Every Merrill Kelly player prop we have tracked since coverage started, with the line we played, what he actually did, and the hit rate stat by stat. Today's edge and confidence levels stay members-only.
Stat-by-stat coverage
How the model has performed on each Merrill Kelly prop market we cover. Decided picks only; pushes excluded from hit rate.
| Stat | Tracked | W | L | Push | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikeouts | 17 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 52.9% |
Recent recommendations
The last 15 Merrill Kelly props the model rated positive expected value, with the recommended side, the closing line, and the result.
| Date | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.70 | 2 | LOSS |
| Aug 18 | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.70 | 2 | LOSS |
| Aug 12 | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 2.09 | 2 | WIN |
| Aug 8 | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.84 | 4 | WIN |
| Aug 2 | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.71 | 5 | WIN |
| Jul 27 | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.76 | 6 | LOSS |
| Jul 22 | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.83 | 3 | LOSS |
| Jul 18 | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.80 | 3 | LOSS |
| Jun 28 | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.76 | 3 | LOSS |
| Jun 22 | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.78 | 2 | LOSS |
| Jun 17 | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.84 | 4 | WIN |
| Jun 6 | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.15 | 4 | LOSS |
| May 9 | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.02 | 6 | WIN |
| May 9 | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.94 | 6 | WIN |
| May 9 | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.00 | 6 | WIN |
Other Arizona Diamondbacks players we track
Browse the model’s prop history for Merrill Kelly’s teammates.
| Player | Position | Picks tracked | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll | n/a | 133 | 37.1% | View → |
| Ketel Marte | n/a | 124 | 61.3% | View → |
| Ildemaro Vargas | n/a | 108 | 68.5% | View → |
| Gabriel Moreno | n/a | 67 | 53.1% | View → |
| Geraldo Perdomo | n/a | 56 | 57.4% | View → |
| Nolan Arenado | n/a | 46 | 17.4% | View → |
| Adrian Del Castillo | n/a | 44 | 27.9% | View → |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | n/a | 27 | 36.0% | View → |
Today’s edge stays private
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