Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
NFL
Patrick Mahomes prop predictions
Every Patrick Mahomes player prop we have tracked since coverage started, with the line we played, what he actually did, and the hit rate stat by stat. Today's edge and confidence levels stay members-only.
Stat-by-stat coverage
How the model has performed on each Patrick Mahomes prop market we cover. Decided picks only; pushes excluded from hit rate.
| Stat | Tracked | W | L | Push | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 63.6% |
| Rushing Yards | 10 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 10.0% |
| Passing TDs | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 33.3% |
Recent recommendations
The last 15 Patrick Mahomes props the model rated positive expected value, with the recommended side, the closing line, and the result.
| Date | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | Rushing Yards | over | 12.5 | 1.90 | 8 | LOSS |
| Nov 8 | Passing Yards | over | 241.5 | 1.88 | 242 | WIN |
| Nov 8 | Passing TDs | under | 2.5 | 1.52 | 2 | WIN |
| Nov 8 | Rushing Yards | over | 12.5 | 1.93 | 8 | LOSS |
| Nov 8 | Passing Yards | over | 242.5 | 1.90 | 242 | LOSS |
| Nov 8 | Passing TDs | under | 2.5 | 1.48 | 2 | WIN |
| Nov 1 | Rushing Yards | over | 14.5 | 1.90 | 6 | LOSS |
| Nov 1 | Passing Yards | over | 226.5 | 1.90 | 321 | WIN |
| Nov 1 | Passing TDs | over | 1.5 | 2.62 | 3 | WIN |
| Oct 26 | Passing Yards | over | 218.5 | 1.90 | 165 | LOSS |
| Oct 26 | Passing TDs | over | 1.5 | 2.60 | 0 | LOSS |
| Oct 18 | Rushing Yards | over | 16.5 | 1.92 | 16 | LOSS |
| Oct 18 | Passing Yards | over | 223.5 | 1.89 | 272 | WIN |
| Oct 4 | Rushing Yards | over | 15.5 | 1.88 | 0 | LOSS |
| Oct 4 | Passing Yards | over | 239.5 | 1.88 | 225 | LOSS |
Other Kansas City Chiefs players we track
Browse the model’s prop history for Patrick Mahomes’s teammates.
| Player | Position | Picks tracked | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III | n/a | 23 | 60.9% | View → |
| Xavier Worthy | n/a | 18 | 66.7% | View → |
| Rashee Rice | n/a | 14 | 78.6% | View → |
| Travis Kelce | n/a | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Emmett Johnson | n/a | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Tyquan Thornton | n/a | 10 | 0.0% | View → |
| Cyrus Allen | n/a | 9 | 88.9% | View → |
| Noah Gray | n/a | 8 | 0.0% | View → |
Today’s edge stays private
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