MLB · Sat, May 9, 2026
New York Yankees at Milwaukee Brewers
Final score: New York Yankees 3 – 4 Milwaukee Brewers. 34 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 2.12 | +24.7% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 7 | 1.80 | +19.2% | PUSH |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.23 | +0.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 9.00 | +355.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 9.50 | +351.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andrew Vaughn | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 8.50 | +327.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trent Grisham | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 9.50 | +326.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 8.00 | +321.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Aaron Judge | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 8.00 | +306.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Gary Sanchez | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 8.50 | +263.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 7.25 | +256.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 4.40 | +181.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Aaron Judge | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 4.60 | +179.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 4.10 | +159.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Ryan McMahon | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 5.50 | +148.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 3.80 | +143.6% | 1 | WIN |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 3.70 | +143.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Austin Wells | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 4.60 | +108.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luis Rengifo | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 4.40 | +108.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trent Grisham | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 4.25 | +93.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tyler Black | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.77 | +92.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Garrett Mitchell | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.06 | +87.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 3.10 | +62.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Spencer Jones | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 3.00 | +46.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.18 | +42.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.19 | +40.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Amed Rosario | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.96 | +32.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jose Caballero | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 2.5 | 1.26 | +18.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Cam Schlittler | New York Yankees | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.04 | +15.1% | 6 | WIN |
| Jose Caballero | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.91 | +10.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.55 | +7.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Tyler Black | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.75 | +6.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.75 | +2.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Gary Sanchez | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.17 | +0.1% | 0 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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