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MLB · Thu, Oct 8, 2026
Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres
Final score: Milwaukee Brewers 3 · 1 San Diego Padres. 26 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.93 | +3.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.57 | +71.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Samad Taylor | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.47 | +49.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.04 | +42.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Yelich | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.60 | +42.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.14 | +40.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cooper Pratt | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.75 | +40.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.06 | +36.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.19 | +35.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.05 | +33.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.14 | +31.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Austin Hays | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.80 | +30.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luis Campusano | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.70 | +30.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Cronenworth | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.06 | +30.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Garrett Mitchell | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.40 | +24.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Samad Taylor | San Diego Padres | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.95 | +21.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.87 | +16.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Xander Bogaerts | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.67 | +16.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Joey Ortiz | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.78 | +14.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sal Frelick | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.27 | +12.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Sal Frelick | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.58 | +11.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Austin Hays | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.33 | +11.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.34 | +4.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.58 | +1.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.62 | +1.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Cooper Pratt | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.37 | +0.9% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving San Diego Padres or Milwaukee Brewersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers | 36 | 33.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres | 27 | 25.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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