NBA · Sun, May 10, 2026
New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers
Final score: New York Knicks 144 – 114 Philadelphia 76ers. 82 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | home | 20.5 | 1.87 | +30.9% | LOSS |
| Spread | home | 13.5 | 2.10 | +26.9% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 241.5 | 1.91 | +13.5% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 212.5 | 1.91 | +11.0% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 214.5 | 1.95 | +9.6% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 213.5 | 1.89 | +9.3% | WIN |
| Spread | away | 1.5 | 1.95 | +2.1% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George | Philadelphia 76ers | Assists | over | 3.5 | 4.25 | +157.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | New York Knicks | Points | over | 8.5 | 2.24 | +121.8% | 17 | WIN |
| Quentin Grimes | Philadelphia 76ers | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 2.60 | +100.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Quentin Grimes | Philadelphia 76ers | Points | over | 6.5 | 1.99 | +94.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| Tyrese Maxey | Philadelphia 76ers | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 2.80 | +93.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | New York Knicks | Assists | under | 11.5 | 1.87 | +85.1% | 10 | WIN |
| Landry Shamet | New York Knicks | Points | under | 12.5 | 1.87 | +85.1% | 12 | WIN |
| Joel Embiid | Philadelphia 76ers | Points | under | 28.5 | 1.91 | +83.4% | 24 | WIN |
| Josh Hart | New York Knicks | Points | over | 12.5 | 3.10 | +82.9% | 17 | WIN |
| Josh Hart | New York Knicks | Points | under | 18.5 | 2.00 | +81.7% | 17 | WIN |
| Paul George | Philadelphia 76ers | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 2.35 | +81.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Paul George | Philadelphia 76ers | Points | over | 10.5 | 2.00 | +81.0% | 7 | LOSS |
| Quentin Grimes | Philadelphia 76ers | Assists | over | 2.5 | 3.30 | +79.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | New York Knicks | Points | over | 14.5 | 1.83 | +77.8% | 17 | WIN |
| Miles McBride | New York Knicks | Points | under | 25.5 | 1.77 | +75.2% | 25 | WIN |
| Joel Embiid | Philadelphia 76ers | Points | under | 25.5 | 1.97 | +72.2% | 24 | WIN |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | New York Knicks | Assists | under | 4.5 | 2.13 | +69.1% | 10 | LOSS |
| Mitchell Robinson | New York Knicks | Rebounds | under | 9.5 | 1.71 | +65.9% | 6 | WIN |
| Joel Embiid | Philadelphia 76ers | Points | under | 26.5 | 1.82 | +65.9% | 24 | WIN |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | New York Knicks | Points | over | 18.5 | 1.98 | +65.3% | 17 | LOSS |
| Mitchell Robinson | New York Knicks | Rebounds | under | 6.5 | 2.09 | +61.0% | 6 | WIN |
| Quentin Grimes | Philadelphia 76ers | Points | over | 9.5 | 1.87 | +58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | New York Knicks | Assists | under | 5.5 | 1.74 | +57.1% | 10 | LOSS |
| Josh Hart | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 2.5 | 1.69 | +55.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jalen Brunson | New York Knicks | Points | under | 33.5 | 1.60 | +53.7% | 22 | WIN |
| Mitchell Robinson | New York Knicks | Rebounds | under | 7.5 | 1.76 | +53.6% | 6 | WIN |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | New York Knicks | Rebounds | over | 8.5 | 1.80 | +52.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| Tyrese Maxey | Philadelphia 76ers | Points | over | 18.5 | 1.69 | +50.1% | 17 | LOSS |
| Mitchell Robinson | New York Knicks | Points | over | 4.5 | 1.93 | +48.0% | 6 | WIN |
| Jalen Brunson | New York Knicks | Rebounds | under | 5.5 | 1.62 | +46.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Miles McBride | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.99 | +46.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | New York Knicks | Points | over | 19.5 | 1.88 | +45.5% | 17 | LOSS |
| Jalen Brunson | New York Knicks | Points | under | 27.5 | 1.96 | +44.5% | 22 | WIN |
| Tyrese Maxey | Philadelphia 76ers | Points | over | 20.5 | 1.83 | +43.2% | 17 | LOSS |
| Mikal Bridges | New York Knicks | Points | over | 13.5 | 1.77 | +42.7% | 12 | LOSS |
| Miles McBride | New York Knicks | Rebounds | under | 2.5 | 2.54 | +42.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | New York Knicks | Points | over | 20.5 | 1.99 | +40.0% | 17 | LOSS |
| Josh Hart | New York Knicks | Rebounds | under | 10.5 | 2.00 | +37.8% | 9 | WIN |
| Mikal Bridges | New York Knicks | Points | over | 14.5 | 1.85 | +34.7% | 12 | LOSS |
| Mikal Bridges | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 3.5 | 2.65 | +34.7% | 6 | WIN |
| Landry Shamet | New York Knicks | Points | under | 6.5 | 1.99 | +33.4% | 12 | LOSS |
| Mikal Bridges | New York Knicks | Points | under | 23.5 | 1.43 | +33.4% | 12 | WIN |
| Mikal Bridges | New York Knicks | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.74 | +32.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Jalen Brunson | New York Knicks | Points | under | 26.5 | 1.97 | +31.9% | 22 | WIN |
| Paul George | Philadelphia 76ers | Points | under | 17.5 | 1.86 | +30.7% | 7 | WIN |
| Paul George | Philadelphia 76ers | Points | over | 15.5 | 2.65 | +28.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| Mikal Bridges | New York Knicks | Points | over | 15.5 | 1.99 | +27.1% | 12 | LOSS |
| Quentin Grimes | Philadelphia 76ers | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.63 | +26.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mikal Bridges | New York Knicks | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 2.18 | +25.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| Mikal Bridges | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 2.5 | 1.75 | +25.4% | 6 | WIN |
| Miles McBride | New York Knicks | Points | under | 9.5 | 1.94 | +24.7% | 25 | LOSS |
| Paul George | Philadelphia 76ers | Points | under | 16.5 | 1.99 | +21.9% | 7 | WIN |
| Joel Embiid | Philadelphia 76ers | Assists | under | 4.5 | 2.05 | +21.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Joel Embiid | Philadelphia 76ers | Assists | over | 3.5 | 2.00 | +20.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Joel Embiid | Philadelphia 76ers | Rebounds | over | 5.5 | 1.65 | +19.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| Joel Embiid | Philadelphia 76ers | Rebounds | under | 7.5 | 2.06 | +16.5% | 5 | WIN |
| Jalen Brunson | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 5.5 | 1.70 | +16.5% | 6 | WIN |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | New York Knicks | Rebounds | over | 10.5 | 1.78 | +16.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| Jalen Brunson | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 6.5 | 2.17 | +15.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| Tyrese Maxey | Philadelphia 76ers | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.62 | +15.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Tyrese Maxey | Philadelphia 76ers | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 2.19 | +14.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Joel Embiid | Philadelphia 76ers | Assists | under | 5.5 | 1.51 | +14.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Josh Hart | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 4.5 | 1.71 | +14.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Tyrese Maxey | Philadelphia 76ers | Assists | under | 6.5 | 1.75 | +13.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Joel Embiid | Philadelphia 76ers | Points | over | 17.5 | 1.56 | +13.1% | 24 | WIN |
| Tyrese Maxey | Philadelphia 76ers | Points | under | 25.5 | 1.88 | +12.7% | 17 | WIN |
| Jalen Brunson | New York Knicks | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 1.79 | +11.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| Miles McBride | New York Knicks | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 2.47 | +8.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Jalen Brunson | New York Knicks | Assists | under | 7.5 | 1.74 | +7.0% | 6 | WIN |
| Tyrese Maxey | Philadelphia 76ers | Assists | under | 5.5 | 2.17 | +5.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Paul George | Philadelphia 76ers | Rebounds | under | 5.5 | 1.86 | +5.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Paul George | Philadelphia 76ers | Rebounds | over | 5.5 | 2.40 | +4.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Tyrese Maxey | Philadelphia 76ers | Points | under | 24.5 | 1.98 | +3.0% | 17 | WIN |
| Josh Hart | New York Knicks | Rebounds | under | 9.5 | 1.78 | +1.2% | 9 | WIN |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | New York Knicks | Rebounds | over | 11.5 | 1.87 | +0.7% | 4 | LOSS |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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