NBA · Thu, Jun 11, 2026
San Antonio Spurs at New York Knicks
Final score: San Antonio Spurs 106 – 107 New York Knicks. 55 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | home | -1.5 | 1.87 | +10.8% | LOSS |
| Spread | home | -2.5 | 1.95 | +10.5% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 215.5 | 1.95 | +3.2% | WIN |
| Game Total | under | 216.5 | 1.89 | +3.2% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Alvarado | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 1.5 | 2.43 | +122.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Mitchell Robinson | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 0.5 | 2.57 | +96.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Jordan Clarkson | New York Knicks | Points | over | 3.5 | 1.95 | +93.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| De'Aaron Fox | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 14.5 | 1.98 | +89.4% | 18 | WIN |
| Luke Kornet | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 0.5 | 2.29 | +81.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jose Alvarado | New York Knicks | Points | over | 2.5 | 1.83 | +81.2% | 8 | WIN |
| Miles McBride | New York Knicks | Points | over | 4.5 | 1.95 | +81.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Miles McBride | New York Knicks | Rebounds | over | 1.5 | 2.58 | +80.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | New York Knicks | Points | over | 17.5 | 2.00 | +76.9% | 13 | LOSS |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | under | 6.5 | 1.93 | +75.6% | 5 | WIN |
| Mikal Bridges | New York Knicks | Points | over | 12.5 | 2.01 | +75.0% | 7 | LOSS |
| Luke Kornet | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 1.5 | 1.78 | +74.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Keldon Johnson | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 5.5 | 1.77 | +69.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 27.5 | 1.97 | +68.7% | 24 | WIN |
| Keldon Johnson | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 6.5 | 1.85 | +68.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Mitchell Robinson | New York Knicks | Points | over | 3.5 | 1.90 | +67.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Josh Hart | New York Knicks | Points | over | 10.5 | 1.99 | +56.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| Keldon Johnson | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 0.5 | 2.00 | +56.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Julian Champagnie | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 2.21 | +56.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 26.5 | 1.93 | +55.7% | 24 | WIN |
| Landry Shamet | New York Knicks | Points | under | 7.5 | 1.93 | +53.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 2.13 | +52.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| De'Aaron Fox | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 2.13 | +51.2% | 5 | WIN |
| Luke Kornet | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | over | 1.5 | 1.58 | +49.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Keldon Johnson | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 1.86 | +44.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Jalen Brunson | New York Knicks | Points | under | 27.5 | 1.95 | +43.7% | 36 | LOSS |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 15.5 | 1.97 | +40.7% | 13 | WIN |
| Miles McBride | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 0.5 | 1.51 | +39.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jose Alvarado | New York Knicks | Rebounds | over | 0.5 | 1.50 | +37.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 12.5 | 1.79 | +36.6% | 18 | WIN |
| De'Aaron Fox | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 1.57 | +35.0% | 5 | WIN |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 13.5 | 1.99 | +33.8% | 18 | WIN |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 2.08 | +31.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 2.5 | 2.41 | +31.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | New York Knicks | Assists | under | 3.5 | 2.09 | +29.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Josh Hart | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 4.5 | 1.93 | +28.7% | 6 | WIN |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 11.5 | 1.88 | +28.6% | 13 | LOSS |
| Jalen Brunson | New York Knicks | Points | under | 26.5 | 1.90 | +27.2% | 36 | LOSS |
| Mikal Bridges | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 2.5 | 1.69 | +21.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Landry Shamet | New York Knicks | Assists | under | 0.5 | 2.69 | +20.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| OG Anunoby | New York Knicks | Rebounds | under | 5.5 | 1.84 | +18.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Jalen Brunson | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 5.5 | 1.72 | +17.8% | 7 | WIN |
| OG Anunoby | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.73 | +17.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Landry Shamet | New York Knicks | Assists | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +16.2% | 1 | WIN |
| OG Anunoby | New York Knicks | Points | over | 16.5 | 1.93 | +10.3% | 33 | WIN |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 2.5 | 1.57 | +10.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 3.5 | 2.24 | +10.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | New York Knicks | Rebounds | over | 11.5 | 2.03 | +9.3% | 10 | LOSS |
| Josh Hart | New York Knicks | Rebounds | over | 8.5 | 1.92 | +8.1% | 8 | LOSS |
| Julian Champagnie | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 9.5 | 1.88 | +6.9% | 5 | WIN |
| Mitchell Robinson | New York Knicks | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 1.88 | +3.3% | 5 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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