MLB · Sun, May 10, 2026
New York Yankees at Milwaukee Brewers
Final score: New York Yankees 3 – 4 Milwaukee Brewers. 36 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 5.55 | +66.5% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 4.5 | 1.89 | +32.3% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.88 | +18.2% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.89 | +15.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 5.25 | +172.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 5.25 | +161.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jose Caballero | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 4.50 | +157.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Spencer Jones | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 5.25 | +136.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Aaron Judge | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.60 | +130.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Garrett Mitchell | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.75 | +115.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Trent Grisham | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.40 | +94.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.90 | +83.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Aaron Judge | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 3.00 | +80.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.60 | +68.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Andrew Vaughn | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.40 | +61.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.11 | +57.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.30 | +51.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Spencer Jones | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.62 | +42.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.20 | +39.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Gary Sanchez | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.30 | +37.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Blake Perkins | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.02 | +36.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Trent Grisham | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +36.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Jose Caballero | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.70 | +34.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Aaron Judge | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.70 | +30.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Garrett Mitchell | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.45 | +19.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Logan Henderson | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.50 | +17.8% | 5 | LOSS |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.74 | +15.7% | 1 | WIN |
| J.C. Escarra | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.35 | +14.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Spencer Jones | New York Yankees | RBIs | under | 1.5 | 1.21 | +12.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.62 | +11.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.74 | +11.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.05 | +7.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Aaron Judge | New York Yankees | RBIs | under | 1.5 | 1.27 | +7.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Ryan McMahon | New York Yankees | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.35 | +7.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.24 | +2.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +2.3% | 1 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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