MLB · Wed, May 13, 2026
San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers
Final score: San Diego Padres 3 – 1 Milwaukee Brewers. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7 | 1.87 | +12.5% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.41 | +48.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.27 | +32.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ramon Laureano | San Diego Padres | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.30 | +31.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.88 | +18.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Jacob Misiorowski | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 2.02 | +17.2% | 10 | LOSS |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.86 | +10.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.64 | +7.8% | 1 | WIN |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.60 | +6.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.58 | +3.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.22 | +0.9% | 0 | WIN |
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