NBA · Tue, Jun 9, 2026
San Antonio Spurs at New York Knicks
Final score: San Antonio Spurs 115 – 111 New York Knicks. 61 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | home | -2.5 | 1.95 | +12.8% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 215.5 | 1.95 | +5.2% | LOSS |
| Game Total | under | 216.5 | 1.87 | +5.1% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kornet | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 2.5 | 2.44 | +127.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jose Alvarado | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +113.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Mitchell Robinson | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 0.5 | 2.48 | +89.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jose Alvarado | New York Knicks | Rebounds | over | 1.5 | 2.63 | +87.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Keldon Johnson | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 5.5 | 1.93 | +84.6% | 7 | WIN |
| Jose Alvarado | New York Knicks | Points | over | 2.5 | 1.85 | +83.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Luke Kornet | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 2.15 | +81.5% | 5 | WIN |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | under | 6.5 | 1.93 | +75.6% | 5 | WIN |
| De'Aaron Fox | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 14.5 | 1.83 | +75.0% | 12 | LOSS |
| Luke Kornet | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 0.5 | 2.19 | +73.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Josh Hart | New York Knicks | Points | over | 9.5 | 2.01 | +73.7% | 16 | WIN |
| Miles McBride | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +71.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Landry Shamet | New York Knicks | Points | under | 8.5 | 1.89 | +67.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | New York Knicks | Points | over | 18.5 | 2.00 | +67.0% | 11 | LOSS |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | New York Knicks | Points | over | 17.5 | 1.86 | +64.5% | 11 | LOSS |
| Mikal Bridges | New York Knicks | Points | over | 13.5 | 2.03 | +63.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Mikal Bridges | New York Knicks | Points | over | 12.5 | 1.83 | +59.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Landry Shamet | New York Knicks | Points | under | 7.5 | 1.99 | +58.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Miles McBride | New York Knicks | Points | over | 5.5 | 1.83 | +56.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Julian Champagnie | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 5.5 | 1.85 | +56.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 26.5 | 1.93 | +55.7% | 32 | LOSS |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 2.17 | +55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| Miles McBride | New York Knicks | Rebounds | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +55.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 27.5 | 1.81 | +55.0% | 32 | LOSS |
| Mitchell Robinson | New York Knicks | Points | over | 3.5 | 1.74 | +53.5% | 5 | WIN |
| Keldon Johnson | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 0.5 | 1.94 | +52.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Keldon Johnson | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 1.94 | +50.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 16.5 | 1.85 | +47.0% | 23 | LOSS |
| De'Aaron Fox | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | over | 3.5 | 2.04 | +44.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Points | over | 12.5 | 1.86 | +41.9% | 11 | LOSS |
| Stephon Castle | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 15.5 | 1.98 | +41.4% | 23 | LOSS |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | New York Knicks | Assists | under | 3.5 | 2.22 | +37.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 11.5 | 1.98 | +35.4% | 8 | WIN |
| Jose Alvarado | New York Knicks | Rebounds | over | 0.5 | 1.47 | +35.0% | 3 | WIN |
| OG Anunoby | New York Knicks | Points | over | 14.5 | 1.79 | +34.4% | 28 | WIN |
| Josh Hart | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 4.5 | 2.01 | +34.0% | 5 | WIN |
| OG Anunoby | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 1.5 | 1.93 | +31.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Julian Champagnie | San Antonio Spurs | Points | under | 10.5 | 1.90 | +30.9% | 12 | LOSS |
| OG Anunoby | New York Knicks | Points | over | 15.5 | 1.94 | +29.0% | 28 | WIN |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 2.04 | +28.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | New York Knicks | Assists | under | 4.5 | 1.59 | +26.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Jalen Brunson | New York Knicks | Points | under | 26.5 | 1.86 | +24.6% | 32 | LOSS |
| Landry Shamet | New York Knicks | Assists | under | 0.5 | 2.77 | +23.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Mikal Bridges | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 2.5 | 1.70 | +21.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Josh Hart | New York Knicks | Rebounds | over | 7.5 | 1.73 | +19.8% | 9 | WIN |
| Josh Hart | New York Knicks | Rebounds | over | 8.5 | 2.11 | +18.8% | 9 | WIN |
| Landry Shamet | New York Knicks | Assists | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +18.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jalen Brunson | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 5.5 | 1.71 | +17.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| Jalen Brunson | New York Knicks | Assists | over | 6.5 | 2.18 | +16.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 3.5 | 2.32 | +13.9% | 6 | WIN |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 2.5 | 2.09 | +13.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | New York Knicks | Rebounds | over | 10.5 | 1.72 | +12.3% | 8 | LOSS |
| Mitchell Robinson | New York Knicks | Rebounds | under | 5.5 | 1.75 | +9.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | New York Knicks | Rebounds | over | 11.5 | 2.03 | +9.3% | 8 | LOSS |
| OG Anunoby | New York Knicks | Rebounds | under | 5.5 | 1.69 | +8.4% | 5 | WIN |
| Landry Shamet | New York Knicks | Rebounds | under | 1.5 | 1.88 | +6.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| De'Aaron Fox | San Antonio Spurs | Assists | over | 5.5 | 1.90 | +5.3% | 8 | WIN |
| Mikal Bridges | New York Knicks | Rebounds | under | 3.5 | 1.81 | +4.2% | 5 | LOSS |
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