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MLB · Tue, Jun 16, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Dodgers
Final score: Tampa Bay Rays 3 · 4 Los Angeles Dodgers. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.60 | +6.9% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 9 | 1.95 | +1.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinez | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.93 | +16.3% | 6 | WIN |
| Eric Lauer | Los Angeles Dodgers | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.88 | +14.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.05 | +13.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.41 | +13.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.96 | +10.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Max Muncy | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +8.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +7.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.85 | +4.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +3.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +0.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.88 | +0.1% | 3 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Los Angeles Dodgers or Tampa Bay Raysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants | 10 | 30.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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