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MLB · Tue, Oct 20, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 3 · 7 Tampa Bay Rays. 20 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.55 | +73.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.52 | +57.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Liam Hicks | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.46 | +51.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jo Adell | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.32 | +47.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.61 | +44.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.83 | +42.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.29 | +39.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.49 | +38.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Richie Palacios | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.72 | +38.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Jose Ramirez | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.77 | +32.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Freddy Peralta | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.29 | +28.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.37 | +27.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Taylor Walls | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.68 | +23.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.66 | +22.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.27 | +16.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brayan Rocchio | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.79 | +4.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Patrick Bailey | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.86 | +3.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.77 | +3.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Petey Halpin | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.71 | +3.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.21 | +2.3% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Tampa Bay Rays or Cleveland Guardians that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 27 | 37.0% | View → |
| Thu, Oct 15, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 25 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 14, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 22 | 27.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 13, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians | 31 | 19.4% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 9, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 36.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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