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MLB · Wed, Jun 17, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Dodgers
Final score: Tampa Bay Rays 4 · 5 Los Angeles Dodgers. 19 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.67 | +9.1% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.93 | +8.9% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.95 | +4.8% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 2.14 | +111.9% | 5 | WIN |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.55 | +75.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.98 | +56.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.15 | +54.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.55 | +41.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Tommy Edman | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.34 | +33.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dalton Rushing | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.25 | +31.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.36 | +28.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Kyle Tucker | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.00 | +28.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Alex Call | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +26.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.81 | +16.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +14.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Shane McClanahan | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.83 | +9.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| Drew Rasmussen | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.10 | +8.2% | 7 | WIN |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.67 | +3.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.47 | +0.9% | 2 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Los Angeles Dodgers or Tampa Bay Raysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants | 10 | 30.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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