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MLB · Thu, Jun 18, 2026
Cleveland Guardians at Milwaukee Brewers
Final score: Cleveland Guardians 4 · 2 Milwaukee Brewers. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.67 | +5.5% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.93 | +0.9% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.60 | +71.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Garrett Mitchell | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.73 | +59.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.94 | +50.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +40.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Blake Perkins | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.86 | +35.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Shane Drohan | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.71 | +34.3% | 3 | WIN |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.74 | +28.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andrew Vaughn | Milwaukee Brewers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.74 | +17.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Austin Hedges | Cleveland Guardians | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.09 | +11.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +4.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| David Fry | Cleveland Guardians | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.28 | +1.3% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Milwaukee Brewers or Cleveland Guardiansthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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