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MLB · Fri, Jun 19, 2026
Washington Nationals at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: Washington Nationals 2 · 5 Tampa Bay Rays. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.91 | +12.5% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.08 | +9.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.89 | +52.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +27.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cade Cavalli | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.83 | +15.7% | n/a | PUSH |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +15.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.38 | +12.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +11.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.59 | +9.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +6.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +5.8% | 4 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Tampa Bay Rays or Washington Nationalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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