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MLB · Sun, Jun 21, 2026
Washington Nationals at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: Washington Nationals 3 · 4 Tampa Bay Rays. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8 | 1.89 | +10.4% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.74 | +1.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +28.9% | 6 | WIN |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.09 | +22.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +18.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Andrew Alvarez | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.65 | +13.6% | 6 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +10.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.42 | +8.1% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Tampa Bay Rays or Washington Nationals that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 29, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 28, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays | 11 | 18.2% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 27, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays | 23 | 56.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers | 24 | 33.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 20, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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