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MLB · Thu, Jun 25, 2026
Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: Kansas City Royals 2 · 13 Tampa Bay Rays. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.95 | +3.1% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tolbert | Kansas City Royals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.91 | +27.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +14.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Starling Marte | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +14.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Kameron Misner | Kansas City Royals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.10 | +13.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.00 | +12.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Seth Lugo | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.12 | +10.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.06 | +8.9% | 12 | WIN |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +8.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +6.1% | 2 | LOSS |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +3.2% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Tampa Bay Rays or Kansas City Royalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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