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MLB · Thu, Jul 2, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 7 · 4 Milwaukee Brewers. 21 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7 | 2.03 | +13.6% | WIN |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.60 | +10.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Perkins | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.07 | +47.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Shane Drohan | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 2.23 | +40.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.36 | +31.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.54 | +27.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Jacob Misiorowski | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | under | 9.5 | 1.75 | +27.2% | 10 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.94 | +22.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +18.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Andrew Abbott | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.30 | +10.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.69 | +10.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Garrett Mitchell | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.99 | +10.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.77 | +4.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +3.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.66 | +3.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Edwin Arroyo | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.94 | +3.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.47 | +2.3% | 1 | WIN |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.79 | +1.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Christian Yelich | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.62 | +0.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Eugenio Suarez | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.92 | +0.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Tyler Stephenson | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.96 | +0.2% | n/a | PUSH |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Milwaukee Brewers or Cincinnati Redsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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