Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Jul 4, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Houston Astros
Final score: Tampa Bay Rays 8 · 10 Houston Astros. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +35.5% | 9 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +34.2% | 5 | WIN |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +27.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +12.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +11.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nick Allen | Houston Astros | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.76 | +7.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.57 | +2.9% | n/a | PUSH |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Houston Astros or Tampa Bay Rays that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 29, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 28, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays | 11 | 18.2% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 27, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays | 23 | 56.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers | 24 | 33.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 20, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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