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MLB · Tue, Jul 7, 2026
New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: New York Yankees 4 · 6 Tampa Bay Rays. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Seymour | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.71 | +61.8% | 12 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.08 | +43.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.92 | +40.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.89 | +39.7% | 3 | WIN |
| Paul Goldschmidt | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.91 | +37.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +35.3% | 6 | WIN |
| Amed Rosario | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.23 | +33.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.86 | +23.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.01 | +20.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +17.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Will Warren | New York Yankees | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.78 | +11.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.36 | +10.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Paul Goldschmidt | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.09 | +6.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +4.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.31 | +4.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +4.7% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Tampa Bay Rays or New York Yankeesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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