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MLB · Wed, Jul 8, 2026
New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: New York Yankees 0 · 3 Tampa Bay Rays. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.13 | +55.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Paul Goldschmidt | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.16 | +47.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.11 | +46.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +42.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.95 | +41.0% | 3 | WIN |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.01 | +29.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Amed Rosario | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.15 | +28.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +15.8% | 5 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.93 | +15.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Shane McClanahan | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.83 | +11.4% | 5 | WIN |
| Paul Goldschmidt | New York Yankees | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +8.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.31 | +7.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +6.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.31 | +4.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.54 | +1.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Amed Rosario | New York Yankees | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +0.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +0.2% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Tampa Bay Rays or New York Yankeesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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