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MLB · Sun, Jul 12, 2026
Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates
Final score: Milwaukee Brewers 5 · 14 Pittsburgh Pirates. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.04 | +16.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | +27.1% | 3 | WIN |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.91 | +21.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Paul Skenes | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 2.10 | +21.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.39 | +20.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.37 | +5.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.60 | +3.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.63 | +0.5% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Pittsburgh Pirates or Milwaukee Brewersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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