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MLB · Sun, Jul 19, 2026
Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers
Final score: Miami Marlins 1 · 3 Milwaukee Brewers. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.76 | +3.1% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +33.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +31.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Esteury Ruiz | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.94 | +24.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.52 | +11.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Xavier Edwards | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.49 | +10.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Garrett Mitchell | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.81 | +6.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Robert Gasser | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.82 | +5.5% | 5 | WIN |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.79 | +4.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Rece Hinds | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.67 | +3.7% | n/a | PUSH |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.51 | +2.0% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Milwaukee Brewers or Miami Marlinsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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