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MLB · Sun, Sep 27, 2026
Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins
Final score: Atlanta Braves 3 · 5 Miami Marlins. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 2.01 | +6.5% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.91 | +0.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deyvison De Los Santos | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.02 | +30.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jared Serna | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.85 | +22.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Janson Junk | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.20 | +19.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Javier Sanoja | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.99 | +16.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Mike Yastrzemski | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.10 | +15.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Heriberto Hernandez | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.45 | +13.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.47 | +12.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.91 | +10.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Sean Murphy | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.98 | +8.7% | 2 | LOSS |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.76 | +6.0% | 0 | WIN |
| JR Ritchie | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.19 | +5.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +5.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| Jakob Marsee | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.23 | +3.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.51 | +2.1% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Miami Marlins or Atlanta Braves that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 23.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 6, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 26.7% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 5, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 3, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 2, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 36.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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