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MLB · Sun, Jul 19, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Tampa Bay Rays 1 · 6 Boston Red Sox. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.80 | +0.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.88 | +38.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.07 | +38.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jahmai Jones | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.85 | +37.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.45 | +20.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | +20.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +17.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.91 | +15.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.80 | +13.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.06 | +9.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jahmai Jones | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.28 | +4.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.28 | +4.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.28 | +3.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Romy Gonzalez | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.53 | +3.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +1.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +0.4% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Tampa Bay Rays that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 29, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Wed, Oct 28, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays | 11 | 18.2% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 27, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays | 23 | 56.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers | 24 | 33.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 20, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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