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MLB · Tue, Jul 21, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays
Final score: Tampa Bay Rays 12 · 2 Toronto Blue Jays. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | +31.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Drew Rasmussen | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.01 | +27.9% | 5 | WIN |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.42 | +27.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +9.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Ernie Clement | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +7.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Jonatan Clase | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.05 | +3.8% | n/a | PUSH |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.46 | +0.5% | 2 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Toronto Blue Jays or Tampa Bay Raysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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