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MLB · Thu, Jul 23, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays
Final score: Tampa Bay Rays 4 · 2 Toronto Blue Jays. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.93 | +2.6% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Seymour | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 2.02 | +67.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.94 | +39.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.01 | +38.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Myles Straw | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.06 | +35.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.67 | +23.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.90 | +15.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Shane Bieber | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.14 | +13.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +10.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.72 | +8.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +7.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +4.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +4.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ernie Clement | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.17 | +3.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.29 | +2.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.23 | +1.7% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Toronto Blue Jays or Tampa Bay Raysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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