Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Thu, Jul 30, 2026
Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: Texas Rangers 2 · 3 Tampa Bay Rays. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.67 | +6.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezequiel Duran | Texas Rangers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.62 | +58.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Burger | Texas Rangers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.04 | +42.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.08 | +41.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.10 | +39.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Wyatt Langford | Texas Rangers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +35.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Austin Wynns | Texas Rangers | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.94 | +33.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Wyatt Langford | Texas Rangers | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.10 | +26.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.02 | +20.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Nimmo | Texas Rangers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.42 | +16.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +8.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.04 | +6.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.33 | +6.3% | n/a | PUSH |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.31 | +4.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Austin Wynns | Texas Rangers | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.23 | +3.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Shane McClanahan | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.60 | +1.7% | 3 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Tampa Bay Rays or Texas Rangersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 12 | 83.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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