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MLB · Fri, Jul 31, 2026
Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: Chicago White Sox 6 · 1 Tampa Bay Rays. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.84 | +2.4% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.29 | +1.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Munetaka Murakami | Chicago White Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +22.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.00 | +18.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Colson Montgomery | Chicago White Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +12.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Miguel Vargas | Chicago White Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +10.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Drew Romo | Chicago White Sox | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.74 | +9.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +8.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Erick Fedde | Chicago White Sox | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.96 | +5.7% | 6 | WIN |
| Nick Martinez | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.66 | +5.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +0.6% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Tampa Bay Rays or Chicago White Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 25 | 32.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 27 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 14 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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