Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Mon, Aug 3, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4 · 3 Milwaukee Brewers. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.94 | +5.6% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.67 | +5.5% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +24.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +23.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +23.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Sproat | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.80 | +10.9% | 4 | WIN |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +3.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Jake Mangum | Pittsburgh Pirates | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +2.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Nick Gonzales | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.46 | +0.1% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Milwaukee Brewers or Pittsburgh Piratesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.