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MLB · Tue, Aug 4, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers
Final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4 · 3 Milwaukee Brewers. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.60 | +3.1% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.88 | +3.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.21 | +20.8% | 6 | WIN |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +20.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jared Jones | Pittsburgh Pirates | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.99 | +9.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Logan Henderson | Milwaukee Brewers | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.69 | +8.8% | 8 | LOSS |
| Nick Gonzales | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.54 | +5.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.72 | +2.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.62 | +1.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.66 | +1.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Endy Rodriguez | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.83 | +0.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Spencer Horwitz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.68 | +0.0% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Milwaukee Brewers or Pittsburgh Piratesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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