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MLB · Thu, Aug 20, 2026
Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: Toronto Blue Jays 5 · 1 Tampa Bay Rays. 18 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Seymour | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.64 | +43.1% | 8 | LOSS |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.12 | +39.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Charles McAdoo | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.23 | +38.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alejandro Kirk | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.37 | +37.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Daz Cameron | Toronto Blue Jays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.22 | +34.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Ryan Vilade | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.22 | +28.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.76 | +26.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Myles Straw | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.96 | +26.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Shane Bieber | Toronto Blue Jays | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.90 | +25.0% | 7 | WIN |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.78 | +24.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +21.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.95 | +15.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ernie Clement | Toronto Blue Jays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.42 | +9.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.24 | +4.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.69 | +2.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +2.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Chandler Simpson | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.29 | +1.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Charles McAdoo | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.78 | +0.6% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Tampa Bay Rays or Toronto Blue Jaysthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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